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Paper ID:IJSREM62281

A Computational Structure for Anticipating Refugee Movements and Assessing Resource Demand

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM62281

Volume:

10 |

5 |

May 2026

Pages:

1-15

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM62281

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Jasleen Kaur

Jasleen Kaur

Department of Information technology

Amity University Chhattisgarh

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Kiran Vishwakarma

Kiran Vishwakarma

Department of Information technology

Amity University Chhattisgarh

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SP

Shashank Pradhan

Department of Information technology

Amity University Chhattisgarh

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RPG

Rani Pari Gupta

Department of Information technology

Amity University Chhattisgarh

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Mentors

DMN

Dr. Manjushree Nayak

Department of Information technology

Amity University Chhattisgarh

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Abstract

The proposed model integrates real-time data such as disaster severity, conflict intensity, weather conditions, regional infrastructure, and shelter capacity to improve prediction accuracy during humanitarian crises. It uses artificial intelligence and predictive analytics to estimate refugee movement, camp occupancy, and resource needs. A user-friendly dashboard prototype has been developed to display forecasts, migration routes, shelter availability, and resource allocation plans, enabling decision-makers to respond quickly and effectively. The system is designed to support governments, NGOs, and international organizations in making informed, data-driven humanitarian decisions. By reducing uncertainty and improving preparedness, it can help minimize human suffering, optimize relief operations, and ensure aid reaches the maximum number of people in need. The model also assists in planning transportation, safe relocation, and emergency supply distribution during crises. This research highlights the transformative potential of AI and analytics in refugee crisis management, disaster response, and humanitarian planning, making relief efforts faster, smarter, and more efficient for affected populations worldwide.

KEYWORDS

Keywords: Refugee Movement Prediction Humanitarian Analytics Emergency Resource Planning Data-Driven Planning

Cite This Article

Jasleen Kaur, Kiran Vishwakarma, Shashank Pradhan, Rani Pari Gupta, Dr. Manjushree Nayak, "A Computational Structure for Anticipating Refugee Movements and Assessing Resource Demand," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 1-15, May 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM62281

Full Article/Conclusion

The rising occurrence of conflicts, political turmoil, and climate-induced disasters has turned refugee displacement into a pressing global issue, where conventional response mechanisms frequently fall short and are merely reactive. This research introduces a machine learning-driven Refugee Movement Prediction and Resource Planning System that leverages historical displacement data to anticipate future refugee numbers and assess the necessary resources, such as food, water, shelter, and medical supplies. The suggested method combines time-series forecasting through ensemble learning with simulation-based resource estimation to facilitate proactive humanitarian planning. By merging predictive analytics with a web-based visualization platform, the system empowers data-informed decision-making for governments and aid organizations. The findings highlight the capability of such frameworks to enhance preparedness, streamline resource distribution, and improve the effectiveness of humanitarian response strategies.

References

1.                 Karsu, Kara, Selvi – The Refugee Camp Management: A General Framework and a Unifying Decision-Making Model – 2019 2.                 Lamber et al. – Quantitative Requirement Evaluation for a European Refugee Management System Serving Conflicting Needs of Migrants, GOs, and NGOs in Correct and Fair Operative Form – 2019 3.                 Migration Policy Institute – Council Statement on Asylum and Migration Management – (Year not clearly specified, commonly cited as recent policy report) 4.                 Lamber – Concept, Design and Implementation of Identification and Tracking Technologies for Cooperative Refugee Management – 2021 5.                 Lamber et al. – A Hands-On Technology Mix for a European Refugee Management System Serving Migrants and Institutions – 2018 6.                 Hoffmann Pham, Luengo-Oroz – Predictive Modelling of Movements of Refugees and Internally Displaced People: Towards a Computational Framework – 2022 7.                 Carammia, Iacus, Wilkin – Forecasting Asylum-Related Migration Flows with Machine Learning and Data at Scale – 2022 8.                 Author Unknown – Revisiting Forced Migration: A Machine Learning Perspective – 2021 9.                 Carammia, Iacus, Wilkin – Forecasting Asylum-Related Migration Flows with Machine Learning and Data at Scale (Preprint) – 2020 10.              Bosco et al. – Supporting Migration Policies with Forecasts: Illegal Border Crossings in Europe through a Mixed Approach – 2025

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Publication Date

5/3/2026

Peer Review Type

Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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