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Paper ID:IJSREM67170

A hybrid rainfall prediction model using a Long Short Term Memory neural network and Genetic Algorithm

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM67170

Volume:

10 |

9 |

Sep 2026

Pages:

1-5

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM67170

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

DVP

Dr. Vimal Patel

Computer Science

College of Agricultural Engineering and Technology, NAU, Dediapada, Gujarat, India

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DTC

Dr. Tejash Chaudhari

Computer Science

College of Agriculture ,NAU, Waghai, Dangs, Gujarat, India

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DCR

Dr. Chetan Rathod

Computer Science

Vimal Tormal Poddar BCA College, Pandesara, Surat, Gujarat, India

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DBC

Dr. Bhumika Charnanand

Computer Science

Department of Computer Science, School of Science & Technology, Vanita Vishram Women’s University, Surat, Gujarat, India

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Abstract

Rain is a natural source of water and it is not only important for the human beings but also for the survival of plants and animals. It plays a significant role in industry, agriculture, electrical energy and others. Due to the uncertainty and irregularity of rain can lead to occurrence of natural disasters like floods and droughts and also make harm to the infrastructure and life of the living being. Therefore, it is essential to predict rainfall for the effective management in agricultural sector, drought assessment, water management and other areas. Now days, many more neural networks are used for rainfall prediction. One of these is the long short-term memory (LSTM), which has good prediction results and can be trained for sequence synthesis by processing real data sequences step by step. In this study, a hybrid rainfall prediction model is developed using Long Short Term Memory neural network and Genetic Algorithm using historical data of 20 years of rainfall. To assess the model's performance, a categorical cross-entropy loss function is employed. The outcomes of the experiment show that a hybrid rainfall prediction model is suitable for rainfall prediction and has exceptional prediction accuracy.

KEYWORDS

LSTM Genetic algorithm rainfall prediction neural network

Cite This Article

Dr. Vimal Patel, Dr. Tejash Chaudhari, Dr. Chetan Rathod, Dr. Bhumika Charnanand, "A hybrid rainfall prediction model using a Long Short Term Memory neural network and Genetic Algorithm," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 9, pp. 1-5, Sep 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM67170

Full Article/Conclusion

In this research, the proposed rainfall prediction model has developed based on 20 years of historical data of rainfall. The model is built by the Keras API framework using a genetic algorithm and an LSTM neural network. This prediction aids in preventing unpredictable natural disasters like drought and floods and supports farmers in making important agricultural decisions. According to the experimental findings, models that are evaluated based on accuracy achieve a performance of about 83.33 percent. The study comes to the conclusion that the proposed model is ideally appropriate for rainfall prediction and has a respectable degree of accuracy.

References

1.      Nicholls, N, Atmospheric and climatic hazards: Improved monitoring and prediction for disaster mitigation, Springer Natural Hazards, Vol-23, 2001, pp. 137–155. 2.      Sourabh Nema, M.K Awasthi and R K Nema, Trend Analysis of Annual and Seasonal Rainfall in Tawa command Area, International Journal of Environment, Agriculture and Biotechnology (IJEAB), Vol-1, Issue-4, Nov-Dec-2016, pp. 952-957. 3.      Ganesh P. Gaikwad and Prof. V. B. Nikam, Different Rainfall Prediction Models And General Data Mining Rainfall, International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology (IJERT), Vol-2 Issue-7, July 2013, pp. 115-123. 4.      H. M. Abd El Baki, H. Fujimaki, I. Tokumoto, and T. Saito, A new scheme to optimize irrigation depth using a numerical model of crop response to irrigation and quantitative weather forecasts, Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, Elsevier, Vol-150, July 2018, pp. 387-393. 5.      S. Renuga Devi, P. Arulmozhivarman, C. Venkatesh and Pranay Agarwal, Performance Comparison of Artificial Neural Network Models for Daily Rainfall Prediction, International Journal of Automation and Computing, Springer, 2015, Pp. 417–427.  6.      Vimal B. Patel and R. D. Morena, Use of Appropriate Loss Function in Rainfall Prediction using Deep Learning, International Journal of Engineering and Advanced Technology (IJEAT), Vol-9 Issue-6, August 2020, pp. 293-297.  7.      Caihong Hu, Qiang Wu, Hui Li, Shengqi Jian, Nan Li and Zhengzheng Lou, Deep Learning with a Long Short-Term Memory Networks Approach for Rainfall-Runoff Simulation, Water, Vol-10 Issue-11, October 2018, pp. 1-16.  8.      Thomas Fischer and Christopher Krauss, Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions, European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, Vol-270, Issue-2, October 2018, pp. 654-669. 9.      Vimal B. Patel and R. D. Morena, Trend Analysis And Prediction Of Rainfall Using Genetic Algorithm, Shodh Shanchar Bulletien, Vol-10, Issue-40, October-December 2020, pp.130-139. 10.   Chayanika Sharma, Sangeeta Sabharwal and Ritu Sibal, A Survey on Software Testing Techniques using Genetic Algorithm, International Journal of Computer Science, Vol-10, Issue-1, January 2013, pp. 381-393.

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Publication Date

9/10/2026

Peer Review Type

Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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