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Paper ID:IJSREM68622

A Survey on Forex Trading Prediction and Analysis Using Machine Learning Techniques

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

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Paper ID:

IJSREM68622

Volume:

10 |

10 |

Oct 2026

Pages:

1-5

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
Not assigned

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

DK

Dhiraj Kharate

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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SP

Shubham Patil

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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RS

Renu Sharma

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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KS

Komal Sharma

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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TR

Tanmay Ravate

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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Mentors

PZS

Prof. Zuber Shaikh

AIML

Zeal Polytechnic Pune

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Abstract

The Foreign Exchange (Forex) market is a global, decentralized financial market where currencies are traded in pairs. Predicting currency price movements is exceptionally challenging because exchange rates are influenced by dynamic, complex factors including macroeconomic indicators, central bank policies, market volatility, geopolitical events, and investor sentiment. Traditional technical analysis relies on indicators such as Moving Average (MA), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to evaluate historical price trends and momentum. However, these individual indicators often produce conflicting or lagging signals under highly turbulent, non-stationary market conditions. Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models offer robust data-driven alternatives by autonomously learning intricate linear and non-linear patterns from time-series historical data. This paper presents a comprehensive, structured survey of state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning techniques applied to Forex market forecasting and algorithmic trading strategy development. It systematically reviews supervised learning paradigms including Support Vector Machines (SVM), Decision Trees, Random Forest (RF), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), alongside modern recurrent architectures designed specifically for temporal sequences, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and hybrid GRU-LSTM frameworks. Furthermore, this study examines feature engineering protocols, technical indicator integration, model evaluation metrics (MAE, MSE, RMSE, Directional Accuracy, Sharpe Ratio), and time-series cross-validation schemes (such as walk-forward validation) necessary to prevent severe data leakage. Finally, key operational challenges—including non-stationarity, extreme market volatility, noise, overfitting, order execution latency, and realistic transaction costs (spreads, slippage, and overnight fees)—are analyzed, highlighting promising prospective research directions such as multi-task technical indicator prediction and explainable financial AI.

KEYWORDS

Forex Market Machine Learning Technical Indicators RSI MACD Moving Average Random Forest Support Vector Machines LSTM GRU Hybrid Models Currency Prediction Financial Time-Series Forecasting

Cite This Article

Dhiraj Kharate, Shubham Patil, Renu Sharma, Komal Sharma, Tanmay Ravate, Prof. Zuber Shaikh, "A Survey on Forex Trading Prediction and Analysis Using Machine Learning Techniques," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 10, pp. 1-5, Oct 2026.

Full Article/Conclusion

This paper presented a detailed, rigorous survey on machine learning and deep learning techniques applied to Forex trading prediction and analysis. It reviewed technical indicators (MA, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands), supervised learning algorithms (SVM, Random Forest, ANN), and advanced temporal architectures (LSTM, GRU, hybrid GRU-LSTM networks). The survey highlighted the critical necessity of proper chronological walk-forward validation to eliminate data leakage and emphasized the imperative of incorporating realistic transaction costs into quantitative backtests. By identifying key operational limitations and proposing novel multi-task technical indicator prediction paradigms, this study provides a solid foundation and clear roadmap for researchers and quantitative practitioners developing robust, automated FX trading intelligence systems.

References

[1] M. Ayitey Junior, P. Appiahene, O. Appiah, and C. N. Bombie, "Forex market forecasting using machine learning: Systematic literature review and meta-analysis," Journal of Big Data, vol. 10, art. 9, 2023. doi: 10.1186/s40537-022-00676-2. [2] A. Santuci, E. Sbruzzi, L. Araújo-Filho, and M. Leles, "Evaluation of FOREX trading strategies based on Random Forest and Support Vector Machines," IEEE Latin America Transactions, vol. 20, no. 9, pp. 2146–2152, 2022. doi: 10.1109/TLA.2022.9878170. [3] P. Escudero, W. Alcocer, and J. Paredes, "Recurrent neural networks and ARIMA models for Euro/Dollar exchange rate forecasting," Applied Sciences, vol. 11, no. 12, art. 5658, 2021. doi: 10.3390/app11125658. [4] M. S. Islam and E. Hossain, "Foreign exchange currency rate prediction using a GRU-LSTM hybrid network," Soft Computing Letters, vol. 3, art. 100009, 2021. doi: 10.1016/j.socl.2020.100009. [5] Y. Fischer and C. Krauss, "Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions," European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 270, no. 2, pp. 654–669, 2018. [6] J. B. Heaton, N. G. Polson, and J. H. Witte, "Deep learning in finance," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 3–12, 2017. [7] A. A. Ariyo, A. O. Adewumi, and C. K. Ayo, "Stock price prediction using the ARIMA model," in Proc. UKSim-AMSS 16th Int. Conf. Comput. Model. Simul., 2014, pp. 106–112. [8] S. Hochreiter and J. Schmidhuber, "Long short-term memory," Neural Computation, vol. 9, no. 8, pp. 1735–1780, 1997. [9] K. Cho, B. van Merriënboer, C. Gulcehre, D. Bahdanau, F. Bougares, H. Schwenk, and Y. Bengio, "Learning phrase representations using RNN encoder-decoder for statistical machine translation," in Proc. EMNLP, 2014, pp. 1724–1734.

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Publication Date

10/31/2026

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