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ArticlePeer ReviewedOpen AccessPlagiarism Passed
Paper ID:IJSREM62820

AgroPackAI: An AI-Powered Dual-Model Machine Learning System for Agro-Waste Eco-Packaging Recommendation with Simultaneous CO2 and Cost Prediction for Indian SMEs

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM62820

Volume:

10 |

5 |

May 2026

Pages:

1-9

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM62820

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Kanithi Vanaja

Kanithi Vanaja

Department of Computer Science & Artificial intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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Dr. C. Krishna Priya

Dr. C. Krishna Priya

Department of Computer Science & Artificial intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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Mentors

Dr.C.Krishna Priya

Dr.C.Krishna Priya

Department of Computer Science & Artificial intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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Abstract

Currently India produces 3.5 million metric tonnes of plastic packaging waste annually and incinerates > 500 million metric tonnes of agricultural crop residue – two simultaneous crises the current methods are ill-equipped to serve the SMEs. AgroPackAI is an AI web-based eco-packaging recommendation system that takes product input parameters (category, weight, fragility) and outputs the Top 5 rated sustainable materials from a library of 15 eco-materials (7 agro-waste materials and 8 eco-alternatives). An ML architecture with two models (Random Forest) to predict cost (R2 = 0.9793, MAE = Rs. 3.95) and XGBoost to predict CO2 footprint (R2 = 0.9853, MAE = 0.360 kg CO2/kg) trained on an 8,247 record synthetic-empirical hybrid dataset beats the benchmark state of the art (R2 = 0.91) while scores derived by ISO 18602:2013 based MCDA scoring (68% environmental weight). The recommendations were presented via a Flask web app with BI dashboard, with agro-waste options showing 43 Rs/kg vs 78 Rs/kg for conventional eco alternatives and also proving to be 25-40% lower in terms of CO2 output and assisting compliance with EPR Rules 2022 India.

KEYWORDS

Index Terms - Sustainable packaging agro-waste valorisation Random Forest XGBoost CO2 prediction MCDA Flask EPR supply chain AI eco-material recommendation.

Cite This Article

Kanithi Vanaja, Dr. C. Krishna Priya, Dr.C.Krishna Priya, "AgroPackAI: An AI-Powered Dual-Model Machine Learning System for Agro-Waste Eco-Packaging Recommendation with Simultaneous CO2 and Cost Prediction for Indian SMEs," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 1-9, May 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM62820

Full Article/Conclusion

AgroPackAI is a dual-model AI-powered eco-packaging recommendation system achieving R2 = 0.9793 for cost prediction (Random Forest) and R2 = 0.9853 for CO2 emission prediction (XGBoost) — new state-of-the-art benchmarks for both packaging ML tasks — with sub-200 ms real-time inference on consumer hardware. The system directly addresses all five identified research gaps: an integrated recommendation pipeline (G1), quantified CO2 prediction (G2), dual R2 > 0.97 (G3), 7 Indian agro-waste materials (G4), and a deployed BI dashboard (G5). The quantitative finding that agro-waste materials are simultaneously the most cost-competitive and most environmentally optimal packaging options in the Indian market establishes the economic case for EPR Rules 2022 compliance, not merely the regulatory one. Future directions for research: (1) real-time integration of SME inventory and purchasing systems; (2) user acceptance testing by packaging experts; (3) deep learning enhancements (TabNet, attention-based models); (4) expansion of eco-material database to include bio-composites;

References

[1] R. Geyer, J. R. Jambeck, and K. L. Law, "Production, use, and fate of all plastics ever made," Science Advances, vol. 3, no. 7, p. e1700782, 2017. [2] Central Pollution Control Board, "Annual report on plastic waste management in India," Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, Govt. of India, New Delhi, Tech. Rep., 2022. [3] Dept. for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade, "Annual e-commerce report 2023," Ministry of Commerce and Industry, Govt. of India, New Delhi, Tech. Rep., 2023. [4] Punjab Remote Sensing Centre, "Assessment of paddy straw burning and its environmental impact in Punjab and Haryana," PRSC, Ludhiana, India, Tech. Rep., 2021. [5] R. A. Ilyas et al., "Characterization of sugar palm nanocrystalline cellulose reinforced sugar palm starch bionanocomposites," J. Biobased Mater. Bioenergy, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 1-12, 2022. [6] EcoInvent Centre, "EcoInvent database version 3.9," Swiss Centre for Life Cycle Inventories, Zurich, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.ecoinvent.org [7] K. Danach, H. E. Dirani, and H. Rkein, "Revolutionizing supply chain management with AI: A path to efficiency and sustainability," IEEE Access, vol. 12, pp. 1-18, 2024. [8] L. Breiman, "Random forests," Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 5-32, 2001. [9] T. Chen and C. Guestrin, "XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system," in Proc. 22nd ACM SIGKDD Int. Conf. KDD, 2016, pp. 785-794. [10] ISO, "ISO 18602:2013 - Packaging and the environment: Optimization of the packaging system," ISO, Geneva, 2013.

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Publication Date

5/8/2026

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