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ArticlePeer ReviewedOpen AccessPlagiarism Passed
Paper ID:IJSREM64967

AI-Based sales forecasting using a hybrid ANN and XGBOOST model

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM64967

Volume:

10 |

6 |

Jun 2026

Pages:

1-7

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM64967

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

AP

Arpan Panja

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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AH

Anik Haldar

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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AR

Arpan Roy

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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AD

Arka Das

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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SD

Smrity Dey

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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Mentors

RD

Rakhi Dey

Computer science and engineering

JIS College Of Engineering

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Abstract

The swift emergence of e-commerce has produced a plethora of transaction data, thereby posing a necessity for state-of-the-art solutions using AI to make accurate forecasts in sales, estimate demand, and optimize prices. Thus, this paper suggests conducting a comprehensive examination of an AI-driven solution for pricing analytics and forecasting that utilizes ML and DL approaches to solve three interrelated problems of demand prediction, dynamic pricing, and revenue optimization. To this end, the research assesses various advanced models, benchmarking statistical models like ARIMA against machine learning algorithms like Linear Regression, Random Forest, and XG Boost, as well as sequential deep learning models like LSTM and Prophet by Facebook. In the dynamic pricing part, RL is applied to generate a solution framework. These parts of the solution are integrated into a hierarchical model, which evolves from traditional ML to an intelligent AI-powered price engine. The predictive accuracy of the model is rigorously assessed through the use of commonly used metrics such as MAE, RMSE, and MAPE. The experiments clearly show that ML and DL approaches outperform their counterparts in terms of accuracy. Finally, the developed pricing model enables the derivation of highly scalable insights for large-scale digital environments like e-commerce, ride-hailing, air travel, and food deliveries.

KEYWORDS

Sales Forecasting Demand Prediction Dynamic Pricing Revenue Optimization Machine Learning LSTM XGBoost Reinforcement Learning.

Cite This Article

Arpan Panja, Anik Haldar, Arpan Roy, Arka Das, Smrity Dey, Rakhi Dey, "AI-Based sales forecasting using a hybrid ANN and XGBOOST model," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 1-7, Jun 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM64967

Full Article/Conclusion

The development and assessment of the AI-Based Sales Forecasting System show the potential and effectiveness of leveraging machine learning, deep learning, and reinforcement learning techniques in modern businesses' forecasting and pricing procedures. The efficient integration of structured data preprocessing workflows, competing forecasting techniques, dynamic pricing, and an interactive web-based dashboard provides an efficient and comprehensive analytics platform for supporting pricing decisions in modern businesses. Ingestion of sales data by the developed platform and automatic generation of accurate demand forecasts and prices proves the practicality of implementing artificial intelligence technologies for decision making within commercial organizations.   High correlation between predictions provided by the algorithmically generated models and actual sales figures, especially among the hybrid models, demonstrates the efficiency of using advanced algorithms in extracting the necessary temporal information out of retail sales data. Also, the successful increase in revenue produced by the reinforcement learning-based dynamic pricing strategy proves the great commercial value of using advanced pricing techniques. Feature importance analysis and multi-model view make the advanced intelligence available even to non-technical users, who need explanations behind certain decisions made by the models. Additionally to the effective algorithmic forecasting pipeline, the created tool incorporates efficient revenue analysis dashboards and session monitoring features.

References

[1] Chen, T., & Guestrin, C., "XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System," Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, pp. 785-794, 2016.   [2] Goodfellow, I., Bengio, Y., & Courville, A., Deep Learning. MIT Press, 2016.   [3] Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C., Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 5th Edition. Wiley, 2015.   [4] Makridakis, S., Spiliotis, E., & Assimakopoulos, V., "Statistical and Machine Learning Forecasting Methods: Concerns and Ways Forward," PLOS ONE, vol. 13, no. 3, 2018.   [5] Brownlee, J., Machine Learning Mastery with Python. Machine Learning Mastery, 2017.   [6] Drucker, H., Burges, C. J. C., Kaufman, L., Smola, A., & Vapnik, V., "Support Vector Regression Machines," Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, vol. 9, pp. 15516   [7] L. Breiman, “Random Forests,” Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 5-32, 2001.   [8] J. H. Friedman, “Greedy Function Approximation: A Gradient Boosting Machine,” Annals of Statistics, vol. 29, no. 5, pp. 1189-1232, 2001.   [9] A. Géron, Hands-On Machine Learning with Scikit-Learn, Keras, and TensorFlow, 3rd ed. O'Reilly Media, 2022.   [10] D. P. Kingma and J. Ba, “Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization,” International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), 2015.  

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Publication Date

6/14/2026

Peer Review Type

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Review Rounds: 2

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