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Paper ID:IJSREM61890

AI-Driven Energy Consumption Forecasting and Optimization System

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

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Paper ID:

IJSREM61890

Volume:

10 |

4 |

April 2026

Pages:

1-9

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
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Not assigned

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

GVR

GUTAM VIVEK REDDY

Department of Emerging Technologies

Mahatma Gandhi Institute of Technology Gandipet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India

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GA

G. Abhishek

Department of Emerging Technologies

Mahatma Gandhi Institute of Technology Gandipet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India

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Mentors

DKR

Dr. Koteshwara Rao

Department of Emerging Technologies

Mahatma Gandhi Institute of Technology Gandipet, Hyderabad, Telangana, India

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Abstract

This paper presents an AI- driven energy consumption forecasting and optimization system aimed at improving energy efficiency and reducing electricity costs across residential, commercial, and industrial environments. The proposed system leverages historical energy usage data along with external factors such as weather conditions, occupancy patterns, and temporal variations to accurately predict future energy demand. Machine learning models including Long short Term Memory (LSTM), and Transformer architectures are employed to capture both short-term and long-term consumption patterns. To enhance energy utilization, the system integrates optimization techniques such as Reinforcement learning and Linear Programming, which generate efficient scheduling strategies for high power devices while minimizing peak load and operational costs. A user- friendly web based dashboard is developed to provide real-time monitoring, forecasting visualization, and actionable insights for end users. Experimental results indicate that the proposed approach significantly improves prediction accuracy and enables intelligent decision making for energy management. The system demonstrates strong potential as a scalable and sustainable solution for modern smart energy systems.

KEYWORDS

Index Terms –Energy Consumption Forecasting Machine Learning LSTM Transformer Prophet Model Reinforcement Learning LinearProgramming Smart Energy Management Optimization Time Series Analysis Energy Efficiency Streamlit dashboard.

Cite This Article

GUTAM VIVEK REDDY, G. Abhishek, Dr. Koteshwara Rao, "AI-Driven Energy Consumption Forecasting and Optimization System," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 1-9, April 2026.

Full Article/Conclusion

The AI-Driven Energy Consumption Forecasting and Optimization System successfully demonstrates an end-to-end solution for predicting and optimizing electricity usage in buildings. The system integrates data processing, multiple forecasting models, optimization techniques, and a user-friendly dashboard to provide actionable insights.   The model evaluation, the Prophet model outperformed  LSTM  and  Transformer, achieving lower error metrics and better reliability, indicating strong seasonal patterns in the dataset. The explainability analysis revealed that occupancy and temperature are the most influential factors affecting energy consumption, aligning with real-world behavior. The optimization module effectively reduced energy costs while maintaining operational and comfort constraints, achieving significant savings (up to ~77%). This highlights the system’s capability to make intelligent, cost- efficient decisions.   Overall, the project not only predicts energy demand but also recommends optimal usage strategies, making it a practical decision-support system for smart buildings. Future enhancements can include real-time IoT integration, improved deep learning models, and deployment in large- scale smart grid environments.

References

[1]             Afram and F. Janabi-Sharifi, “Theory and applications of HVAC control systems A review of model predictive control (MPC),” Building and Environment, vol. 72, pp. 343– 355, 2014. [2]             C. Wei and Y. Li, “Reinforcement Learning for Building Energy Management: Review and Case Studies,” IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, vol. 17, no. 9, pp. 6083–6093, Sep. 2021 [3]             Y. Zhang, N. Good, and P. Mancarella, “Data-Driven Control for Smart Building Energy Management: A Reinforcement Learning Approach,” Applied Energy, vol. 221, pp. 372–386, 2018   [4]             B. Yildiz, J. Bilbao, and A. Sproul, “A review and analysis of regression and machine learning models on commercial building electricity load forecasting,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, vol. 73, pp. 1104– 1122, 2017 [5]             [2005/32/EC] N.N.: Directive 2005/32/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council, July 6, 2005, available from: http:// ec.europa.eu/enterprise/ eco_design/dir2005- 32.htm, 2005. [6]             K. Amasyali and N. M. El-Gohary, “A review of data-driven building energy consumption prediction studies,” Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev., vol. 81, pp. 1192–1205, Jan. 2018. [7]             L. Benali, G. Notton, A. Fouilloy, C. Voyant, and R. Dizene, “Solar radiation forecasting using artificial neural network and random forest methods: Application to normal beam, horizontal diffuse and global components,” Renew. Energy, vol. 132, pp. 871–884, Mar. 2019. [8]             N. Amjady, “Short-term hourly load forecasting using time-series modeling with peak load estimation capability,” IEEE Trans. Power Syst., vol. 16, no., pp. 498–505, Aug. 2001. [9]             S. Bouktif, A. Fiaz, A. Ouni, and M. A. Serhani, “Optimal deep learning LSTM model for electric load forecasting using feature selection and genetic algorithm: Comparison with machine learning approaches,” Energies vol. 11, no. 7, p. 1636, Jun. 2018. [10]         J. R. Driscoll, N. Sarnak, D. D. Sleator, and R. E. Tarjan, “Making data structures persistent,” J. Comput. Syst. Sci., vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 86–124, 1989.

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Publication Date

4/29/2026

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Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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