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© 2026 IJSREM – International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management. This is an open-access journal. Articles are published under the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Paper ID:IJSREM65902

AI-Driven Predictive Analytics for Improving Project Planning: A Task-Level Analysis of Interdependencies and Decision Making

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM65902

Volume:

10 |

7 |

Jul 2026

Pages:

1-9

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM65902

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Vs

Vijayar sivakumar

MBA

RAJALAKSHMI ENGINEERING COLLEGE

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SR

SOBIKA R

MBA

RAJALAKSHMI ENGINEERING COLLEGE

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Abstract

Background: Traditional project planning methodologies often rely on subjective, experience-based estimations that struggle to account for the non-linear interdependencies of complex project environments. This "granularity gap" leads to reactive management and systemic schedule delays. Objective: This study applies AI-driven predictive analytics to identify delay-prone activities at a granular, task-level scale, transitioning project governance from intuition to data-driven oversight. Methodology: A dataset of 150 task-level observations across functional departments (Welding, Procurement, Integration, etc.) was analyzed using a Random Forest Regression model. The research evaluated four key predictors: task duration, complexity, risk level, and dependency. Results: The model demonstrated high predictive accuracy, achieving a Coefficient of Determination (R²) of 0.90. Statistical analysis revealed that inter-task dependency (r = 0.61) is the primary driver of delay, whereas task duration showed a negligible correlation (r = 0.05). Conclusion: The findings suggest that project connectivity is a more reliable predictor of schedule integrity than individual task duration. Implementing dependency-aware AI models allows managers to proactively mitigate "cascading delays" before execution begins.

KEYWORDS

AI-Driven Predictive Analytics Random Forest Regression Project Delay Prediction Task-Level Analysis Project Interdependencies Data-Driven Decision Making (DDDM)

Cite This Article

Vijayar sivakumar, SOBIKA R, "AI-Driven Predictive Analytics for Improving Project Planning: A Task-Level Analysis of Interdependencies and Decision Making," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 7, pp. 1-9, Jul 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM65902

Full Article/Conclusion

This study has successfully demonstrated that AI-driven predictive analytics can transcend the limitations of traditional, experience-based project planning. By utilizing a Random Forest Regression model, the research achieved an R² of 0.90, statistically validating the shift from deterministic scheduling to probabilistic forecasting. The most significant finding is the identification of inter-task dependency (r = 0.61) as the primary driver of schedule variance, effectively debunking the traditional reliance on duration (r = 0.05) as the sole planning metric.

References

1. Kahneman D., Tversky A., "Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk", Econometrica, 1979, 47 (2), 263-291. 2. Flyvbjerg B., "Top Ten Behavioral Biases in Project Management", Project Management Journal, 2021, 52 (6), 531-546. 3. Williams T., "The Complexity of Projects and Delays", International Journal of Project Management, 2017, 35 (4), 500-512. 4. Pinto J.K., Winch G.M., "The Planning Fallacy in Large Infrastructure Projects", Strategic Management Journal, 2016, 37 (8), 1530-1545. 5. Atkinson R., "Project Management: Cost, Time and Quality, Two Best Guesses and a Phenomenon, Its Time to Accept Other Criteria", International Journal of Project Management, 1999, 17 (6), 337-342. 6. Wauters M., Vanhoucke M., "A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Methods for Project Duration Forecasting", Automation in Construction, 2016, 71, 120-136. 7. Khosrowshahi F., "Neural Networks in Project Duration Estimation", Journal of Construction Engineering, 2017, 43 (2), 89-101. 8. Voznytsia M., "AI Risk Patterns in Modern Planning Frameworks", Journal of Decision Systems, 2024, 33 (1), 45-62. 9. Gondia A., Siaahlooei A., Varajao J., "Predicting Project Delays Using Machine Learning Ensemble Methods", Methodologies in Systems Engineering, 2020, 22 (3), 114-128. 10. Li H., Zhang X., Liu Y., "Random Forest Frameworks for Structural High-Dimensional Complex Environment Mapping", Advanced Engineering Informatics, 2021, 49, 101-115.

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Publication Date

7/8/2026

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Review Rounds: 2

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