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Stream/Area:
-
Subject:
-
Paper ID:
IJSREM50887
Volume:
9 |
6 |
Jun 2025
Pages:
1-6
Publication Frequency:
Monthly (12 issues per year)
License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.
Independent Researcher
Independent Researcher
This study analyses the performance of 91-day Treasury Bills (T-Bills) in Nepal during times of market stress, including the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2017 liquidity crisis. Trends in T-Bill yields, liquidity indicators, and the NEPSE Index from 2016 to 2024 are examined in this study using quantitative techniques such as time-series analysis (HP Filter) and Pearson correlation. The results show that during times of crisis, T-Bill yields fell, indicating a "flight to safety" as demand for low-risk assets increased. Liquidity and T-Bill yields showed a limited link with the NEPSE Index, but a moderately favorable correlation. According to the study's findings, T-Bills are an essential instrument for maintaining financial stability since they provide a refuge during times of market stress and supporting in monetary policy actions.
KEYWORDS
The study concludes that 91-day T-Bills in Nepal play a vital role during market stress, with yields declining as investors seek safer assets. The analysis highlights a stronger link between T-Bill yields and liquidity conditions as compared to stock market performance, underscoring their importance in monetary policy. During crises like the liquidity crises and COVID-19, T-Bills provided stability, reinforcing their reputation as a safe-haven asset. These findings emphasize the need for effective public debt management and policy measures to leverage T-Bills for financial resilience. Future research could explore additional macroeconomic variables to further refine understanding of T-Bill dynamics in emerging markets.
Amstad, M., & Remolona, E. (2020). Market stress and the flight to safety: How Treasury bills behave during crises. March, 1–14. https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2003.htm Cecchetti, S., & Schoenholtz, K. (2021). Money, Banking, and Financial Markets. McGraw-Hill Education. Choudhry, M., & Gabor, D. (2019). "Liquidity Shocks and Short-Term Government Debt: Evidence from Emerging Asia." Journal of Financial Stability, 42, 45-58. Gurung, R. (2020). Relationship between Treasury Bill Rate and NEPSE Index in Nepal. Pravaha, 26(1), 94–102. https://doi.org/10.3126/pravaha.v26i1.31951 Hodrick, R. J., & Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar U.S. business cycles: An empirical investigation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29(1), 1–16. Hodrick, R. J., & Prescott, E. C. (1997). Postwar U.S. business cycles: An empirical investigation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29(1), 1–16. https://nepalstock.com.np/indices https://www.sharesansar.com/index-history-data International Monetary Fund (IMF). (2020). Monetary Policy Implementation: Tools and Strategies. IMF Publications. Mishkin, F. S. (2019). The Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets. Pearson Education. World Bank (2021). Financial Market Stability during the COVID-19 Pandemic. World Bank Publications.
Publication Date
6/26/2025
Peer Review Type
Double-Blind Peer Review
Review Rounds: 2
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Conflict of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest related to this research work.
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No funding information available for this research.
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