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Paper ID:IJSREM62061

Climate Multi-Hazard Risk Classification System

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM62061

Volume:

10 |

4 |

April 2026

Pages:

1-18

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM62061

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

JVR

J VENKATA RAGHAVA

CSE (AI & ML)

Sreyas Institute of Engineering and Technology, Hyderabad, INDIA

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K

K.Rahul

CSE (AI & ML)

Sreyas Institute of Engineering and Technology, Hyderabad, INDIA

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D

D.Nandini

CSE (AI & ML)

Sreyas Institute of Engineering and Technology, Hyderabad, INDIA

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R

R.Pradeep

CSE (AI & ML)

Sreyas Institute of Engineering and Technology, Hyderabad, INDIA

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Mentors

GK

Gireesh Kumar

CSE (AI & ML)

Sreyas Institute of Engineering and Technology, Hyderabad, INDIA

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Abstract

At present, climate change is probably the most dangerous threat to our planet Earth. Each year, global warming, deforestation, irregular rainfall, and greenhouse gas increases have contributed to the rise of climatic hazards such as droughts and wildfires. These have become much more frequent in recent years and pose a danger to both natural ecosystems and people. Determining regions especially vulnerable to these phenomena is crucial, as it helps governments provide adequate disaster response and long-term climate action — contributing to United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 13. In this work, we developed a Climate Multi-Hazard Risk Classification System that uses machine learning to predict risk based on climate-related parameters including temperature variability, rainfall pattern, carbon emissions, and deforestation rate. Three classification models were evaluated — Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, and Random Forest — with Random Forest achieving the best performance at 94.5% test accuracy and 93.8% cross-validation accuracy. The result is an automated and interpretable classification system accessible through a Flask-based web interface.

KEYWORDS

Keywords: Climate Risk Multi-Hazard Classification Random Forest Machine Learning Drought Forest Fire Sustainable Development

Cite This Article

J VENKATA RAGHAVA, K.Rahul, D.Nandini, R.Pradeep, Gireesh Kumar, "Climate Multi-Hazard Risk Classification System," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 1-18, April 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM62061

Full Article/Conclusion

This project successfully created an operationalized machine learning system for classifying regional vulnerability to climate hazards. The Climate Multi-Hazard Risk Classification System is a fully automated, explainable, and accessible platform that merges drought and forest fire risk into a single coherent classification framework — unlike most existing systems that treat these hazards separately. All elements of the pipeline were implemented using Python and standard machine learning libraries, making the solution fully reproducible. Physics-based data generation enabled scientifically grounded model training without costly real-world data annotation. Random Forest was selected as the final model after comparison, achieving over 94% test accuracy. The Flask-based web portal ensures that non-programming experts can use the system for research or climate risk decision-making, directly supporting UN SDG 13 on Climate Action. Key limitations include reliance on synthetic data and the current scope of only two hazard types. Future improvements include integrating actual geospatial data from sources such as WorldClim and NASA Earth Observation, expanding hazard coverage, exploring cloud-based deployment, and experimenting with gradient boosting or neural network architectures. In conclusion, the system demonstrates that machine learning can play a meaningful and practical role in multi-hazard climate risk assessment.

References

[1] I. Sommerville, Software Engineering, 10th ed. Harlow, U.K.: Pearson, 2017. [2] R. S. Pressman and B. R. Maxim, Software Engineering: A Practitioner's Approach, 8th ed. New York, NY, USA: McGraw-Hill, 2016. [3] L. Breiman, "Random Forests," Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 5–32, 2021. [4] F. Pedregosa et al., "Scikit-learn: Machine Learning in Python," Journal of Machine Learning Research, vol. 12, pp. 2825–2830, 2021. [5] S. Heo, S. Park, and D. K. Lee, "Multi-hazard exposure mapping under climate crisis using random forest algorithm for the Kalimantan Islands, Indonesia," Scientific Reports, vol. 13, no. 13472, 2023. [6] H. R. Pourghasemi et al., "Assessing and mapping multi-hazard risk susceptibility using a machine learning technique," Scientific Reports, vol. 10, no. 3203, 2020. [7] T. G. Nachappa et al., "Multi-hazard exposure mapping using machine learning for the state of Salzburg, Austria," Remote Sensing, vol. 12, no. 17, p. 2757, 2020. [8] N. Khan et al., "Prediction of droughts over Pakistan using machine learning algorithms," Advances in Water Resources, vol. 139, p. 103562, 2020. [9] Y. Piao et al., "Forest fire susceptibility assessment using Google Earth Engine in Gangwon-do, Republic of Korea," Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 432–450, 2022. [10] C. B. Field (Ed.), Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: Special Report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, 2018.

Editorial & Review Transparency

Publication Date

5/1/2026

Peer Review Type

Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest related to this research work.

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