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ArticlePeer ReviewedOpen AccessPlagiarism Passed
Paper ID:IJSREM67853

DEVELOPMENT OF AN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-BASED PREDICTIVE RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION SAFETY USING NEAR-MISS AND INCIDENT DATA

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM67853

Volume:

10 |

10 |

Oct 2026

Pages:

1-6

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM67853

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

RKS

Rajesh Kumar Shah

FIRE TECHNOLOGY & SAFETY ENGINEERING

VIKRANT UNIVERSITY, GWALIOR

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PVT

Prof. Vishal Tiwari

FIRE TECHNOLOGY & SAFETY ENGINEERING

VIKRANT UNIVERSITY, GWALIOR

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Abstract

Industrial construction projects involve numerous hazards associated with lifting operations, working at height, electrical installations, confined spaces, and heavy equipment. Conventional safety management often depends on inspections and retrospective accident analysis, limiting the use of historical safety information for proactive risk prediction. This paper proposes an artificial intelligence (AI)-based predictive risk assessment framework integrating near-miss reports, incident records, safety observations, and project characteristics to estimate future safety incident likelihood. The framework incorporates data preprocessing, feature engineering, machine learning, natural language processing, probabilistic risk estimation, and explainable AI. Logistic regression, random forest, and gradient-boosting algorithms are proposed for comparative evaluation. Performance will be assessed using precision, recall, F1-score, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, precision-recall area under the curve, and probability calibration. The proposed framework aims to identify recurring hazards, prioritise high-risk activities, and support preventive safety interventions. Empirical validation using real industrial construction data is required before implementation.

KEYWORDS

Artificial intelligence industrial construction predictive risk assessment near-miss reporting machine learning incident prediction occupational safety.

Cite This Article

Rajesh Kumar Shah, Prof. Vishal Tiwari, "DEVELOPMENT OF AN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-BASED PREDICTIVE RISK ASSESSMENT FRAMEWORK FOR INDUSTRIAL CONSTRUCTION SAFETY USING NEAR-MISS AND INCIDENT DATA," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 10, pp. 1-6, Oct 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM67853

Full Article/Conclusion

This paper proposes an AI-based predictive risk assessment framework for industrial construction safety using near-miss reports, incident records, safety observations, and project characteristics. The methodology integrates data preprocessing, feature engineering, machine learning, probability estimation, explainable AI, and decision support. The framework aims to support proactive safety management by identifying recurring hazards, estimating future incident likelihood, and prioritising preventive interventions. Its effectiveness will depend on data quality, consistent reporting, appropriate validation, and the interpretation of predictions within established safety-management practices. Future research should implement the proposed framework using real industrial construction datasets, compare the predictive performance of candidate algorithms, and validate the resulting model across independent projects. Further prospective evaluation should determine whether model-informed interventions produce measurable improvements in workplace safety.

References

1.                Baker, H., Hallowell, M. R., & Tixier, A.-J.-P. (2020a). Automatically learning construction injury precursors from text. Automation in Construction, 118, 103145. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2020.103145 2.                Baker, H., Hallowell, M. R., & Tixier, A.-J.-P. (2020b). AI-based prediction of independent construction safety outcomes from universal attributes. Automation in Construction, 118, 103146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2020.103146 3.                Tixier, A.-J.-P., Hallowell, M. R., Rajagopalan, B., & Bowman, D. (2016). Application of machine learning to construction injury prediction. Automation in Construction, 69, 102–114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2016.05.016 4.                Zongzhi Wu, Rujun Wang, 2014. Concern with the safety management of oil and gas pipelines--Status. Chinese Safety News 6, p. 1.N. Craciun, The Cost Assessment for Protection and Prevention of Activities Carried at Height, (2015) 5.                Wu ZongzhiˈZhang Shengzhu, Yu Lijinˈ2014. A method for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline route selection based on loss of life. China Safety Science Journal 24, p. 71.A. Targoutzidis, E. Koukoulaki, K. Schmitz-Felten, M. Kuhl, O. Karen, E. Hengel, K. Rijken, R. Van den Broek, R. Klüser, The business case for safety and health at work: (2014). 6.                Young, Do Jo, Bum, Jong Ahn, 2005. A method of quantitative risk assessment for transmission pipeline carrying natural gas, Journal of Hazardous Materials 123, p. 1S. Sullivan, J Occup Environ Med.,46(6 suppl), S56, (2004) 7.                Han, Z.Y, Weng, W. G, 2011. Comparison study on qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methods for urban natural gas pipeline network, Journal of Hazardous Materials 18, p. 509. 8.                Roberts, T., Buckland, I., Beckett, H., 2001. Consequences of jet-fire interaction with vessels containing pressurized, reactive chemicals, Hazardous: Analyzing the past, planning the future 148, p. 147.A. Burdorf, Scand J Work Environ Health., 33(3), 161, (2007) 9.                P. Lanoie, S. Tavenas, Saf Sci., 24(3), 181, (1996) 10.             Gomez-Mares, M., Munoz, M., Casal, J., 2009. Axial temperature distribution in vertical jet fires, Journal of Hazardous Materials 172, p. 54.T. Mahboob, B. Tariq, S. Anwar S., M. Khanum, Int. J of Comp. App., 121, 20 (2015)    

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Publication Date

10/12/2026

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