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ArticlePeer ReviewedOpen AccessPlagiarism Passed
Paper ID:IJSREM65541

EFFECT OF MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF NEPAL

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM65541

Volume:

10 |

6 |

Jun 2026

Pages:

1-12

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM65541

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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BSC

Bhumi Sara Chitaure

Independent Researcher

Independent Researcher

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Abstract

Purpose: This study examines how Nepal’s money supply affects economic growth while taking into consideration important macroeconomic factors including imports, exports and inflation. Methods: The analysis evaluates the combined impact of using the historical data from the time series spanning between 1975 and 2023. The study made use of Unit Root Test to test the stationary of variables and Error Correction Model (ECM) for empirical analysis. Results: The empirical result shows that money supply, inflation, exports, imports and economic growth were interrelated to each other. The variables have long run relationship. Economic growth is positively and statistical significantly influenced by the money supply, indicating that economic expansion is not highly correlated with increases in money supply. Price instability and rising import levels do not significantly impact growth over the research period, as evidenced by the negative but insignificant effects of inflation and imports. Conclusion: The study concludes that export have a strong positive impact, indicating their important position as a key force supporting Nepal’s economic expansion. Overall, the study highlights that export performance remains essential role to maintaining Nepal’s economic growth even while monetary and price-related factors have insignificant impact.

KEYWORDS

Money Supply Inflation Exports and Imports

Cite This Article

Bhumi Sara Chitaure, "EFFECT OF MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF NEPAL," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 1-12, Jun 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM65541

Full Article/Conclusion

The analysis highlights the connection between Nepal's money supply and economic growth, analysing their long run effects along with other key macroeconomic variables such as inflation, exports and imports. An increase in the money supply may stimulate consumption and investment, but if it is not well managed, it may lead to inflation, which would reduce purchasing power and create economy instability. While excessive inflation decreases saving and trust, moderate inflation can promote growth. While excessive imports may affect domestic sectors and increase the trade deficit. Exports are necessary to create jobs, production and collect foreign exchange. To achieve sustainable economic growth, Nepal needs to manage a balance between supporting goods monetary policies, reducing inflation rate and imports, promoting export of organic and value-added products to avoid inflation and encourage domestic business. The dependence of macroeconomic indicators suggest that no single issue should be taken into account independently when developing economic policy. Nepal needs a well-coordinated macroeconomic framework that includes monetary, industrial, trade, and fiscal policy. The efficacy and involvement of policymaking can be enhanced by constantly evaluating the interrelated factors data-driven techniques. The study identifies key macroeconomic indicators; it is crucial to align these with goals for reasonable and sustainable growth. Issues like young unemployment, environmental sustainability, and regional inequality should all be addressed via economic growth doesn’t come at the expense of long-term resilience and that its advantages are distributed equitably.

References

Adeleye, J. O., Adeteye, O. S., & Adewuyi, M. O. (2015). Impact of international trade on economic growth in Nigeria (1988-2012). International journal of financial research, 6(3), 163-172. Ahmad, D., Afzal, M., & Ghani, U. (2016). Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth Empirical Evidence of Pakistan. International Journal of Applied, 4(6). Ahuja, H. L. (2022). Principles of Macroeconomics. S. Chand Publishing.  Akhter, M. (2015). The impact of export and import on economic growth in Bangladesh. World vision, 9(1), 66-81. Akume, D., Mukete, E. M., & Njimanted, F. G. (2016). The impact of key monetary variables on the economic growth of the CEMAC Zone. Expert journal of economics, 4(2). Andrés, J., & Hernando, I. (1997, July). Inflation and economic growth: some evidence for the OECD countries. In Monetary policy and the inflation process-BIS conference papers (Vol. 4, pp. 364-383). Bilal, M., Oyedele, L. O., Qadir, J., Munir, K., Ajayi, S. O., Akinade, O. O., ... & Pasha, M. (2016). Big Data in the construction industry: A review of present status, opportunities, and future trends. Advanced engineering informatics, 30(3), 500-521. Burney, N. A. (1996). Exports and economic growth: Evidence from cross–country analysis. Applied Economics Letters, 3(6), 369-373. Devkota, S. (2023). Impact of Exports, Imports, Foreign Direct Investment, and Government Expenditure on the Economic Growth of Nepal. Nepalese Journal Of Insurance And Social Security, 6(1), 51-59. Dingela, S., & Khobai, H. (2017). Dynamic impact of money supply on economic growth in South Africa. An ARDL approach. Doan Van, D. (2020). Money supply and inflation impact on economic growth. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 12(1), 121-136. Edeminam, V. B. (2021). Impact of public debt on economic growth in Nigeria (1990 to 2019). Advances in Economics and Business, 9(1), 1-10.

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Publication Date

6/29/2026

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Review Rounds: 2

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