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Paper ID:IJSREM66084

Enhancing Solar Power Generation Prediction: A Novel Grading Approach Leveraging Random Forest and Decision Tree Models

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM66084

Volume:

10 |

7 |

Jul 2026

Pages:

1-10

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM66084

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Rishabh Kushawah

Rishabh Kushawah

Department of Computer Science & Engineering

Dr. A.P.J Abdul Kalam Government Institute of Technology, Tanakpur, Uttarakhand, India

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Sneh Lata Singh

Sneh Lata Singh

Department of Computer Science & Engineering

Dr. A.P.J Abdul Kalam Government Institute of Technology, Tanakpur, Uttarakhand, India

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Neha Bisht

Neha Bisht

Department of Computer Science & Engineering

Dr. A.P.J Abdul Kalam Government Institute of Technology, Tanakpur, Uttarakhand, India

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AA

Akash Arya

Department of Computer Engineering

G.B. Pant University of Agriculture and Technology, Pantnagar, Uttarakhand, India

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Komal Gahtori

Komal Gahtori

Department of Computer Science & Engineering

Dr. A.P.J Abdul Kalam Government Institute of Technology, Tanakpur, Uttarakhand, India

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Divisht Jaiswal

Divisht Jaiswal

Department of Computer Science & Engineering

Dr. A.P.J Abdul Kalam Government Institute of Technology, Tanakpur, Uttarakhand, India

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Abstract

Solar power generation prediction is crucial for sustainable energy management, as weather conditions significantly influence irradiance and temperature. This paper introduces the mean grading approach, which integrates qualitative Solar Power Generation Grades (SPGG) from ensemble model with quantitative regression prediction. The SPGG scale spans 1–16, reflecting weather impacts on solar output. Experimental results validate the framework's effectiveness: the ensemble model achieved training accuracy of 99.25% and testing accuracy of 97.90%, while the RandomForestRegressor yielded an MSE of 0.292, RMSE of 0.540, MAE of 0.104, and R² of 0.974. The approach enhances energy scheduling, grid integration, and renewable adoption, advancing sustainable systems.

KEYWORDS

Solar power generation mean grading approach ensemble model regression model SPGG scale energy optimization.

Cite This Article

Rishabh Kushawah, Sneh Lata Singh, Neha Bisht, Akash Arya, Komal Gahtori, Divisht Jaiswal, "Enhancing Solar Power Generation Prediction: A Novel Grading Approach Leveraging Random Forest and Decision Tree Models," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 7, pp. 1-10, Jul 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM66084

Full Article/Conclusion

The    proposed    framework    represents    a     significant advancement in the field of solar power generation prediction, offering a comprehensive and effective approach to managing smart solar power plants. By integrating ensemble modeling and regression techniques, the framework provides accurate forecasts of solar power generation under varying weather conditions. The experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of the framework in accurately predicting solar power generation levels, with high training and testing accuracies achieved for the ensemble classification model and low error metrics obtained for the RandomForestRegressor model. The applications of the proposed framework extend beyond individual solar power plants to broader energy management strategies,   including    optimizing    production   schedules, enhancing grid integration, and promoting renewable energy penetration. By enabling proactive energy management and reducing reliance on non-renewable energy sources, the framework contributes to the advancement of sustainable energy systems and the mitigation of climate change impacts. Future research could focus on improving the accuracy and generalizability of the model by incorporating additional data sources, such as satellite imagery, atmospheric simulations, or real-time sensor data. This could enhance the model's ability to capture localized weather patterns and short-term fluctuations in solar radiation. Another area for future exploration is the development of more sophisticated modeling techniques, such as machine learning algorithms or hybrid models combining physical principles with data-driven approaches. There is potential for expanding the model's scope to incorporate additional factors influencing solar power generation, such as cloud cover, air pollution, or terrain variations. The proposed framework represents a valuable tool for decision-making in solar energy management, offering insights into future solar power generation potential and facilitating the transition towards a cleaner and greener energy infrastructure.

References

1.       Das, S., Dey, A., Pal, A. and Roy, N., 2015. Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Machine Learning: Review and Prospect. International Journal of Computer Applications, 115(9). 2.       Máté E. Maros 1,2*, Chang Gyu Cho1,2, Andreas G. Junge1, Benedikt Kämpgen3, Victor Saase1, Fabian Siegel2 , FrederikTrinkmann2 , ThomasGanslandt2 , ChristophGroden1 & Holger Wenz Comparative analysis of machine learning algorithms for computer-assisted reporting based on fully automated cross-lingual RadLex mappings, Scientifc Reports | (2021) 3.       F. K. Dosilovic, M. Brcic, and N. Hlupic, “Explainable artificial intelligence: A survey,” 2018 41st International Convention on Information and Communication Technology, Electronics and Microelectronics, MIPRO 2018 - Proceedings, pp. 210–215, Jun. 2018. 4.       K. Yeturu, “Machine learning algorithms, applications, and practices in data science,” in Handbook of Statistics, vol. 43, Elsevier, 2020, pp. 81–206 5.       Gupta, A. Sharma, and A. Goel, “IJERT-Review of Regression Analysis Models Review of Regression Analysis Models,” IJERT Journal International Journal of Engineering Research and Technology, Accessed: Jun. 06, 2022. 6.       M. A. Iqbal, “Application of Regression Techniques with their Advantages and Disadvantages,” vol. 4, pp. 11–17, Sep. 2021. 7.       Paul, D. P. Mukherjee, P. Das, A. Gangopadhyay, A. R. Chintha, and S. Kundu, “Improved Random Forest for Classification,” IEEE Transactions on Image Processing, vol. 27, no. 8, pp. 4012–4024, 2018. 8.       Neetan Sharma1*, Vinod Puri1 , Shubham Mahajan2,3, LaithAbualigah4,5,6,7,8,9, RaedAbu Zitar10 & Amir H.Gandomi11,12, Solar power forecasting beneath diverse weather conditions using GD and LM-artifcial neural networks, Scientifc Reports | (2023) 9.       R. Meenal1 , Prawin Angel Michael2 , D. Pamela3 , E. Rajasekaran4, Weather prediction using random forest machine learning model, Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol. 22, No. 2, May 2021, pp. 1208~1215 10.    SandeepPattnaik, “Weather forecasting in India: Recent developments,” Mausam, vol. 70, no. 3, pp. 453-464, 2019

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Publication Date

7/15/2026

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Review Rounds: 2

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