EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

EXCHANGE RATE DYNAMICS AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS

Pawan Jeet Singh, Shailesh V, Shridevi MP, Ved Prakash, Vasantha, Tejaswini, Rakshitha RN, Bharath DR

Under the Guidance of

Dr. Batani Raghavendra Rao
Professor, Faculty of Management Studies, Master of Business Administration (MBA)
CMS Business School

Abstract

This research paper explores the dynamics of exchange rate fluctuations and their far-reaching implications for the global economy. Exchange rates are pivotal in shaping trade balances, inflation, and capital flows, making them a critical factor for policymakers, multinational corporations, and investors. By examining both theoretical frameworks and empirical evidence, this study analyzes the effects of exchange rate movements on key economic variables such as inflation rates, gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), and international trade balances. The paper employs a combination of econometric modeling and historical data analysis to evaluate how these fluctuations have influenced emerging and developed economies over the past two decades. Results indicate that exchange rate volatility can lead to inflationary pressures in import-dependent economies, disrupt trade balances, and influence FDI inflows. The findings also underscore the importance of stable exchange rate policies to mitigate economic uncertainty. This study concludes with recommendations for future research, particularly regarding the influence of digital currencies and geopolitical tensions on exchange rate stability.