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Paper ID:IJSREM62916

Explainable Predictive Maintenance Using Random Forest and SHAP for Industrial Machine Failure Prediction

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM62916

Volume:

10 |

5 |

May 2026

Pages:

1-9

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM62916

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Jaladi Supriya

Jaladi Supriya

Department of Computer Science & Artificial Intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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B.Pramodhini

B.Pramodhini

Department of Computer Science & Artificial Intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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Ms. B. Pramodhini

Ms. B. Pramodhini

Department of Computer Science & Artificial Intelligence

Central University of Andhra Pradesh

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Abstract

Industrial machine breakdown can lead to serious financial losses and operational hazards. Conventional methods like Corrective maintenance and Preventive maintenance are inadequate for real-time industrial demand. This work proposes an Explainable Predictive Maintenance (XPdM) system where a Random Forest classifier and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) have been incorporated to achieve prediction accuracy as well as explainability. The proposed system was trained with the AI4I 2020 Predictive Maintenance dataset with a model performance of 98.2% accuracy, 0.99 AUC, 97.8% precision and 96.5% recall. Key parameters responsible for machine failure identified were the wear of a tool, temperature and speed. A dashboard in Streamlit allows real-time prediction with an explanation. This system will enhance the decision-making, reliability, and minimize the downtime for Industry 4.0.

KEYWORDS

Predictive Maintenance Random Forest SHAP Explainable AI Machine Failure Industry 4.0 IIoT

Cite This Article

Jaladi Supriya, B.Pramodhini, Ms. B. Pramodhini, "Explainable Predictive Maintenance Using Random Forest and SHAP for Industrial Machine Failure Prediction," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 1-9, May 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM62916

Full Article/Conclusion

This work addresses a solution for Explainable Predictive Maintenance (XPdM) combining machine learning algorithms and explainable AI methods for industry. The Random Forest has an effective prediction accuracy, and SHAP gives us an explicit and human-understandable explanation. The developed dashboard with Streamlit shows these explanations to the user in real time.   The XPdM solution presented here is capable of overcoming three major problems: imbalance classes, interpretability, and on-line application. The key factors identified are tool wear, temperature, and rotational speed, providing better decisions to improve maintenance efficiency. In essence, the XPdM system closes the gap between complex ML models and industrial use cases.    

References

  [1] “AI4I 2020 Predictive Maintenance Dataset,” UCI Machine Learning Repository, 2020. [2] L. Breiman, “Random forests,” Machine Learning, vol. 45, no. 1, pp. 5–32, 2001. [3] S. M. Lundberg and S.-I. Lee, “A unified approach to interpreting model predictions,” in Proc. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), 2017. [4] McKinsey & Company, “The future of predictive maintenance,” 2018. [5] World Economic Forum, “Industry 4.0: The fourth industrial revolution,” 2019. [6] “Scikit-learn: Machine learning in Python – Documentation,” 2023. [7] “SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) – Documentation,” 2023. [8] “Streamlit: The fastest way to build data apps – Documentation,” 2023. [9] A. K. S. Jardine, D. Lin, and D. Banjevic, “A review on machinery diagnostics and prognostics implementing condition-based maintenance,” Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing, 2006. [10] T. Chen and C. Guestrin, “XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting system,” in Proc. ACM SIGKDD Int. Conf. Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD), 2016.

Editorial & Review Transparency

Publication Date

5/9/2026

Peer Review Type

Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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2

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10

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5

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