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Stream/Area:
-
Subject:
-
Paper ID:
IJSREM28475
Volume:
8 |
2 |
Feb 2024
Pages:
1-4
Publication Frequency:
Monthly (12 issues per year)
License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.
Department of Civil Engineering,
Ballari Institute of Technology & Management
Department of Civil Engineering,
Ballari Institute of Technology & Management, Ballari – 583101, Karnataka, India
Department of Civil Engineering,
Ballari Institute of Technology & Management, Ballari – 583101, Karnataka, India
Department of Civil Engineering,
Ballari Institute of Technology & Management, Ballari – 583101, Karnataka, India
Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a critical tool for disaster risk reduction in geologically active terrain. Chikkamagaluru district in the Western Ghats of Karnataka, India, experiences recurring landslide events during monsoon seasons due to its steep slopes, high rainfall, and complex lithological composition. This study applies an ensemble approach integrating the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Evidential Belief Function (EBF) statistical models using Geographic Information System (GIS) to produce landslide susceptibility zone maps for the district. Eighteen conditioning factors, including elevation, slope, slope aspect, curvature, NDVI, rainfall, lithology, land use/land cover (LULC), geomorphology, and hydrological indices such as TWI and SPI, were derived from multi-source spatial datasets and analysed in ArcGIS. Eight ensemble scenarios were evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curves and Area Under Curve (AUC) values. The best-performing model (Scenario 4: EBF + FR) achieved an AUC of 0.919 for the success rate and 0.899 for the predictive rate. Results indicate that areas near major roads and regions of highly dissected hills and valleys exhibit the highest susceptibility. The findings provide a spatially explicit baseline for land-use planners, disaster managers, and policymakers to prioritise mitigation and early warning interventions in the district.
KEYWORDS
This study developed and validated an ensemble GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping framework for Chikkamagaluru district, Karnataka, using Frequency Ratio and Evidential Belief Function models across eight combination scenarios. The key conclusions are as follows: • The best-performing ensemble (Scenario 4: EBF + FR) achieved an AUC of 0.919 (success rate) and 0.899 (predictive rate), demonstrating excellent spatial predictive accuracy. • Distance to road, slope gradient, and terrain ruggedness index (TRI) are the dominant conditioning factors for landslide occurrence in the district, highlighting the critical role of anthropogenic activity alongside natural slope conditions. • Highly dissected hills and valleys, predominantly in the central and southern Western Ghats portions of the district, carry the highest geomorphic susceptibility. • The susceptibility zone maps produced can directly support land-use planning, road development guidelines, and early warning system placement in Chikkamagaluru district. • Future research should explore machine learning integration (Random Forest, CNN) and field-verified 3D slope stability models to further improve predictive precision and capture non-linear factor interactions.
[1] A. K. Batar and T. Watanabe, “Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Assessment Using Geospatial Platforms and Weights of Evidence (WoE) Method in the Indian Himalayan Region: Recent Developments, Gaps, and Future Directions,” ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, vol. 10, no. 3, p. 28, 2021. [2] A. D. Regmi et al., “Application of frequency ratio, statistical index, and weights-of-evidence models and their comparison in landslide susceptibility mapping in Central Nepal Himalaya,” Arabian Journal of Geosciences, vol. 6, no. 7, pp. 725–742, 2013. [3] S. Sarkar and D. P. Kanungo, “An Integrated Approach for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Remote Sensing and GIS,” Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, vol. 70, no. 5, pp. 617–625, 2004. [4] P. Reichenbach et al., “A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models,” Earth-Science Reviews, vol. 180, pp. 60–91, 2018. [5] N. Tengtrairat et al., “Automated Landslide-Risk Prediction Using Web GIS and Machine Learning Models,” ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, vol. 10, no. 13, p. 32, 2021. [6] S. R. Meena et al., “Landslide detection in Himalayas using machine learning algorithms and U-Net,” Landslides, vol. 19, pp. 1209–1229, 2022. [7] S. Mondal and S. Mandal, “Data-driven evidential belief function (EBF) model in exploring landslide susceptibility zones for the Darjeeling Himalaya, India,” Geocarto International, vol. 35, no. 8, pp. 818–856, 2020. [8] D. Q. Thanh et al., “GIS based Frequency Ratio Method for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping at Da Lat city, Lam Dong Province, Vietnam,” Vietnam Journal of Earth Sciences, vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 55–66, 2020.
Publication Date
7/27/2026
Peer Review Type
Double-Blind Peer Review
Review Rounds: 2
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