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Paper ID:IJSREM66644

LifeTrack: An Integrated Statistical and Probabilistic Framework for Anomaly Detection and Behavioral Prediction in Wearable Health Data

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM66644

Volume:

10 |

8 |

Aug 2026

Pages:

1-6

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM66644

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Basavaraj Bhairawadagi

Basavaraj Bhairawadagi

Department of Computer Science and Engineering

R. L. Jalappa Institute of Technology

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Dr. Basavaraj S. Pol

Dr. Basavaraj S. Pol

Department of Computer Science and Engineering

R. L. Jalappa Institute of Technology

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Abstract

Wearable devices continuously generate activity, sleep, heart-rate, calorie, intensity, and other behavioral measurements. These observations are frequently distributed across heterogeneous files with different schemas, timestamps, and sampling granularities, making longitudinal interpretation difficult. This paper presents LifeTrack, an integrated statistical and probabilistic framework for transforming multi-source wearable-health data into interpretable behavioral information. The framework combines Gaussian z-score analysis for deviation detection, Shannon entropy for behavioral variability, a Behavioral Consistency Index (BCI) for composite lifestyle stability, and Markov-chain modeling for short-term behavioral-state prediction. Up to eighteen Fitbit-style datasets can be processed through a unified temporal preprocessing pipeline. The system creates a daily analytical representation, identifies unusual patterns, quantifies routine irregularity, classifies behavioral conditions into Healthy, Moderate, and Unstable states, and estimates probabilistic state transitions. Optional ARIMA forecasting is incorporated for continuous BCI trend analysis. The framework is intended for research and self-monitoring rather than medical diagnosis. By connecting complementary statistical, information-theoretic, and probabilistic methods, LifeTrack provides a transparent pathway from raw wearable observations to personalized behavioral analytics.

KEYWORDS

Wearable Health Data Anomaly Detection Gaussian Model Z-Score Shannon Entropy Behavioral Consistency Index Markov Chain ARIMA Lifestyle Analytics Health Monitoring.

Cite This Article

Basavaraj Bhairawadagi, Dr. Basavaraj S. Pol, "LifeTrack: An Integrated Statistical and Probabilistic Framework for Anomaly Detection and Behavioral Prediction in Wearable Health Data," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 8, pp. 1-6, Aug 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM66644

Full Article/Conclusion

This paper presented LifeTrack, an integrated statistical and probabilistic framework for anomaly detection and behavioral prediction using heterogeneous wearable-health data. The system connects data preprocessing, Gaussian z-score analysis, Shannon entropy, a Behavioral Consistency Index, behavioral-state classification, Markov prediction, and optional ARIMA forecasting. The central contribution is the combination of complementary analytical perspectives in a single interpretable pipeline. Gaussian analysis provides point-wise deviation information, entropy measures broader variability, BCI summarizes multiple behavioral dimensions, and Markov modeling adds sequential prediction. This creates a structured pathway from raw wearable observations to understandable behavioral information. The framework provides a practical foundation for research and personalized lifestyle analytics. Its modular architecture can be extended with robust anomaly detection, adaptive personalization, explainable machine learning, real-time streaming, multimodal sensing, and privacy-preserving computation. The system should remain an analytical and research tool unless its predictions are independently validated for a specific health or clinical application.

References

[1] Y. Wu, Y. Feng, and Z. Lin, “Multivariate time-series classification usingGaussian models and KL-divergence metrics,” Proc. AAAI Conf. Artif. Intell., vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 6402–6409, 2019. [2] Y. Wang, S. Li, and G. Zhao, “Differential evolution with entropy-basedadaptive mutation strategy guided by a Markov chain,” IEEE Access, vol. 9, pp. 116825–116838, 2021. [3] W. Huang, W. Zhang, G. Zeng, and G. Zhou, “A short-term load forecastingmodel of power system based on ARMA and Kalman filter,” Energy Rep., vol. 3, pp. 51–56, 2017. [4] C. E. Shannon, “A mathematical theory of communication,” Bell Syst. Tech.J., vol. 27, pp. 379–423, 623–656, 1948. [5] L. Rabiner, “A tutorial on hidden Markov models and selected applications inspeech recognition,” Proc. IEEE, vol. 77, no. 2, pp. 257–286, 1989. [6] J. D. Hamilton, Time Series Analysis. Princeton, NJ, USA: Princeton Univ.Press, 1994. [7] G. E. P. Box, G. M. Jenkins, G. C. Reinsel, and G. M. Ljung, Time SeriesAnalysis: Forecasting and Control, 4th ed. Hoboken, NJ, USA: Wiley, 2008. [8] T. Hastie, R. Tibshirani, and J. Friedman, The Elements of StatisticalLearning, 2nd ed. New York, NY, USA: Springer, 2009. [9] L. Breiman, “Random forests,” Mach. Learn., vol. 45, pp. 5–32, 2001. [10] A. Hyvärinen, “Independent component analysis: Recent advances,” Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. A, vol. 371, 2013.

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Publication Date

8/10/2026

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Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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