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Paper ID:IJSREM62508

Road Traffic Accident Severity Prediction Using Machine Learning

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM62508

Volume:

10 |

5 |

May 2026

Pages:

1-7

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM62508

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

Durgeshwari Sahu

Durgeshwari Sahu

Department of Computer science and engineering.

Shri Shankarcharya Technical Campus, Junwani Bhilai(C.G)

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PRS

Prof. Ravikant Soni

Department of Computer science and engineering.

Shri Shankarcharya Technical Campus, Junwani Bhilai(C.G)

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PJC

Prof. Jharna Chopra

Department of Computer science and engineering.

Shri Shankaracharya Technical Campus (SSTC), Bhilai

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Abstract

Road traffic accidents are a major public safety concern worldwide, particularly in developing countries such as India, where rapid urbanization, increasing vehicle density, and inadequate road infrastructure significantly contribute to accident rates. Predicting accident severity in advance can help authorities implement preventive measures, improve emergency response systems, and reduce fatalities and injuries. In this work, an approach is developed to predict road traffic accident severity using key environmental and traffic-related parameters such as weather conditions, road condition, visibility, vehicle speed, and time of day. A synthetic dataset containing 50,000 records was generated to simulate realistic accident scenarios due to the limited availability of structured real-world datasets in India. Multiple machine learning algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, XGBoost, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), were implemented and evaluated to analyse their performance. The models were trained and tested using preprocessing techniques such as feature scaling and train-test splitting. Performance evaluation was carried out using classification accuracy and confusion matrix analysis. The results show that ensemble learning models, particularly XGBoost, achieve higher accuracy compared to traditional machine learning models due to their ability to handle nonlinear relationships and reduce overfitting. The analysis shows that machine learning techniques are useful in predicting accident severity and identifying high-risk conditions. This work contributes to the development of intelligent transportation systems by providing a scalable and data-driven solution for accident prediction. The developed model can assist traffic management authorities, policymakers, and emergency services in improving road safety and minimizing accident-related risks.

KEYWORDS

Keywords— Road Traffic Accident Prediction Severity Classification Machine Learning Algorithms XGBoost Ensemble Learning Artificial Neural Networks Traffic Data Analysis Intelligent Transportation Systems Predictive Modelling Road Safety Analytics

Cite This Article

Durgeshwari Sahu, Prof. Ravikant Soni, Prof. Jharna Chopra, "Road Traffic Accident Severity Prediction Using Machine Learning," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 5, pp. 1-7, May 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM62508

Full Article/Conclusion

This work focuses on analysing accident severity using machine learning techniques based on multiple influencing factors. The implementation of multiple machine learning models, including SVM, Random Forest, XGBoost, and Artificial Neural Network, allowed for a comparative analysis of their performance. Among these models, XGBoost emerged as the most effective algorithm, achieving the highest accuracy of 95%. This highlights the strength of boosting techniques in handling structured datasets and capturing complex relationships between features. The findings of this research emphasize that accident severity is influenced by multiple factors, including vehicle speed, weather conditions, visibility, and road conditions. By analysing these factors simultaneously, the proposed system provides a more reliable prediction compared to traditional statistical methods. One of the key contributions of this study is the development of a scalable and adaptable prediction framework that can be integrated into intelligent transportation systems. Such systems can assist traffic authorities in identifying high-risk scenarios and implementing preventive measures such as speed control, traffic regulation, and improved road infrastructure. Furthermore, this research highlights the importance of data-driven decision-making in road safety management. By leveraging machine learning techniques, policymakers can gain valuable insights into accident patterns and develop targeted strategies to reduce accident severity. Although the study uses a synthetic dataset, the model design ensures that it closely reflects real-world conditions. Future work can focus on integrating real-world datasets from Indian traffic authorities to further enhance model performance and reliability. In conclusion, the proposed machine learning-based approach provides an effective solution for accident severity prediction and has the potential to significantly improve road safety outcomes when implemented in real-world systems.

References

[1]  J. Zhang, Y. Wang, and L. Chen, “A New Framework of Vehicle Collision Prediction by Combining SVM and HMM,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 21, no. 5, pp. 1234–1245, 2020. [2] S. Kumar and R. Singh, “An Automated Approach for Predicting Road Traffic Accident Severity Using Transformer Learning and Explainable AI,” IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 45678–45689, 2023. [3] M. Patel, A. Shah, and K. Mehta, “Automatic Accident Detection, Segmentation and Duration Prediction Using Machine Learning,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. Intelligent Systems, 2021, pp. 210–215. [4]  Y. Li, X. Zhao, and H. Liu, “Interpretable Traffic Accident Prediction Using Attention-Based Spatial-Temporal Multi-Graph Learning,” IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, vol. 33, no. 8, pp. 3456–3468, 2022. [5]  A. Sharma, P. Verma, and S. Gupta, “Predicting the Type of Road Traffic Accident for Test Scenario Generation,” in Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. Smart Transportation, 2021, pp. 98–103. [6]  H. Wang, J. Liu, and Z. Sun, “RFCNN Traffic Accident Severity Prediction Based on Decision Level Fusion of Machine and Deep Learning Model,” IEEE Access, vol. 10, pp. 22345–22356, 2022. [7]  K. Verma, R. Tiwari, and M. Singh, “Road Traffic Accident Risk Prediction and Key Factor Identification Framework Based on Explainable Deep Learning,” IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 33456–33467, 2023. [8]  L. Chen, F. Wu, and Y. Zhang, “Traffic Accident Risk Prediction of Tunnel Based on Multi-Source Heterogeneous Data Fusion,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 23, no. 4, pp. 2789–2798, 2022. [9]  R. Gupta, S. Das, and P. Roy, “Traffic Accident Risk Prediction via Multi-View Multi-Task Spatio-Temporal Networks,” IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, vol. 22, no. 7, pp. 4123–4135, 2021. [10] P. Singh and A. Mishra, “Road Accident Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques,” International Journal of Engineering Research, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 145–150, 2020.

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Publication Date

5/6/2026

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Double-Blind Peer Review

Review Rounds: 2

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