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Stream/Area:
-
Subject:
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Paper ID:
IJSREM64239
Volume:
10 |
5 |
May 2026
Pages:
1-9
Publication Frequency:
Monthly (12 issues per year)
License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering

Department of computer science & engineering
JIS college of engineering
One of the main challenges in computational finance is forecasting the future stock price. In the present study, the performance evaluation is done for the next day closing price of Apple Inc. (AAPL) based on a freely available 5-year S&P 500 data set by implementing two deep neural network structures: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network combined with LSTM (CNN-LSTM). We do not directly use price levels as inputs for the neural networks, instead we construct eleven technical indicators based on returns to address the issues of non-stationarity and look-ahead bias. The CNN-LSTM model performs best when trained and tested on a hold-out set for chronological order, with an accuracy of 98.52% (MAPE = 0.98%), an RMSE of 2.234 USD, and an R² coefficient of 0.9507, outperforming the pure LSTM model and two commonly used benchmarks.
KEYWORDS
This work was undertaken to investigate whether using the CNN-LSTM combination model on the principled, return-based feature set from S&P 500 equity data yields any forecasting performance gains over the pure LSTM approach. The high R values achieved even for Ridge Regression indicates that the return-based feature engineering approach is powerful on its own. From the experimental results we see that the CNN-LSTM obtain prediction accuracy of 98.52% and R of 0.9507 on the independent AAPL test split, which still outperforms the two classical baseline methods and the basic LSTM in all the presented aspects with slight and consistent advantage. A variety of directions still could be followed into the future. Test the pipeline's viability for application into multiple stocks, in relation to varying industries, and market capitalization, would also be interesting. Feature representation can be enriched by including additional information sources: eg. Macroeconomic statements, earning announcements, sentiment derived from financial news. Finally, attention based architecture such as Temporal Fusion Transformer can be seen as promising comparable. As there explicitly model temporal weights of attention, and their performance on multivariate time-series benchmarks is high. In summary, this study demonstrates that with disciplined feature engineering and rigorous experimental design, deep learning models can achieve strong predictive performance on individual equity time series. The CNN-LSTM architecture, in particular, offers a compelling balance between model complexity and predictive accuracy, making it a promising candidate for deployment in systematic trading and risk management applications.
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Publication Date
5/28/2026
Peer Review Type
Double-Blind Peer Review
Review Rounds: 2
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The authors declare no conflict of interest related to this research work.
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