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Paper ID:IJSREM66914

Mathematical Modelling and Optimal Control of Measles Epidemics: A Review of Compartmental, Fractional, Stochastic and Spatial Approaches

Stream/Area:

-

Subject:

-

Paper ID:

IJSREM66914

Volume:

10 |

8 |

Aug 2026

Pages:

1-7

Publication Frequency:

Monthly (12 issues per year)

DOI
Digital Object Identifier
10.55041/IJSREM66914

License:International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management follows the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) License, allowing free use and distribution with proper attribution.

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Authors

VS

Vandana Sharma

Department of Mathematics

Guru Kashi University, Punjab

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DJK

Dr. Jaspreet Kaur

Department of Sciences

Guru Kashi University, Punjab

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DVG

Dr. Vikas Gupta

Faculty of Engg & Technology

Guru Kashi University, Punjab

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Abstract

Measles is one of the most contagious vaccine-preventable infectious diseases, and outbreaks continue to occur because of inadequate vaccination coverage, geographical inequalities, incomplete immunization, waning immunity and heterogeneous transmission patterns. Mathematical modelling provides an important framework for analysing the transmission dynamics of measles and evaluating effective control strategies. This review examines recent mathematical approaches for measles modelling, including deterministic SEIR and SVEIR compartmental models, double-dose vaccination models, stochastic differential equation models, fractional-order models, spatially heterogeneous vaccination models, network-based models, and optimal-control frameworks. Particular attention is given to the mathematical formulation of the models, positivity and boundedness of solutions, disease-free and endemic equilibria, basic reproduction numbers, stability analysis, sensitivity analysis, numerical methods and optimal control theory. The reviewed studies demonstrate the increasing integration of epidemiological data with advanced mathematical and computational methods. However, few studies simultaneously incorporate age structure, double-dose vaccination, waning immunity, spatial heterogeneity, fractional or stochastic dynamics, real epidemiological data and optimal control. This gap provides a significant opportunity for further mathematical research in the computational modelling and optimal control of measles epidemics.

KEYWORDS

Measles; mathematical modelling; SEIR; SVEIR; fractional differential equations; stochastic modelling; vaccination; waning immunity; Haar wavelets; optimal control; stability analysis; reproduction number.

Cite This Article

Vandana Sharma, Dr. Jaspreet Kaur, Dr. Vikas Gupta, "Mathematical Modelling and Optimal Control of Measles Epidemics: A Review of Compartmental, Fractional, Stochastic and Spatial Approaches," International Journal of Scientific Research in Engineering and Management, vol. 10, no. 8, pp. 1-7, Aug 2026. https://doi.org/10.55041/IJSREM66914

Full Article/Conclusion

The literature on mathematical modelling of measles has developed from classical deterministic SEIR models to more advanced frameworks incorporating vaccination, multiple vaccine doses, waning immunity, stochastic effects, fractional calculus, spatial heterogeneity and optimal control. From a mathematical perspective, the most important components of a measles model are: Model Formulation → Equilibrium Analysis → R0 → Stability → Sensitivity Analysis → Numerical Solution → Optimal Control The existing literature provides a strong foundation, but a significant research gap remains in developing an integrated model that combines vaccination, waning immunity, spatial heterogeneity, advanced mathematical dynamics and optimal control. Therefore, future research should focus on developing mathematically rigorous and computationally efficient measles models that can provide both theoretical insights and practical guidance for epidemic control.

References

    [1]          Ahmed, S., Jahan, S., Shah, K., & Abdeljawad, T. (2024). On mathematical modelling of measles disease via collocation approach. AIMS Public Health, 11(2), 628–653. https://doi.org/10.3934/publichealth.2024032     [2]          Berhe, H. W., & Makinde, O. D. (2020). Computational modelling and optimal control of measles epidemic in human population. BioSystems, 190. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystems.2020.104102     [3]          Chatterjee, A. N., Sharma, S. K., & Al Basir, F. (2024). A Compartmental Approach to Modeling the Measles Disease: A Fractional Order Optimal Control Model. Fractal and Fractional, 8(8). https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract8080446     [4]          El Hajji, M., & Albargi, A. H. (2022). A mathematical investigation of an “SVEIR” epidemic model for the measles transmission. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 19(3), 2853–2875. https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2022131     [5]          Hoang, M. T., & Ehrhardt, M. (2025). Differential equation models for infectious diseases: Mathematical modeling, qualitative analysis, numerical methods and applications. SeMA Journal. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40324-025-00404-9     [6]          Owolanke, A. O., Ogunbamike, O. K., Peter, O. J., & Agbaje, J. O. (2026). A mathematical model for measles transmission with optimal interventions and cost–effectiveness analysis. Discover Public Health, 23(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12982-026-01932-z     [7]          Peter, O. J., Fahrani, N. D., Fatmawati, Windarto, & Chukwu, C. W. (2023). A fractional derivative modeling study for measles infection with double dose vaccination. Healthcare Analytics, 4. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.health.2023.100231     [8]          Saleh, A. S., Kareem, L., Bakare, E., Charles, O., Eshikhena, G., Adegbite, G., Akoma, D., Ojielo, N., Gayawan, E., Gadanya, M., Ismaila, L., Ogunbode, O., & Kaduru, C. (2025). Computational Modelling of Measles Transmission Dynamics Among Children Under 5 Years in Borno State, Nigeria: A Compartmental SVEIR Model. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6946934/v1     [9]          Sbarra, A. N., Rolfe, S., Nguyen, J. Q., Earl, L., Galles, N. C., Marks, A., Abbas, K. M., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdelalim, A., Abdollahi, M., Abegaz, K. H., Abiy, H. A. A., Abolhassani, H., Abreu, L. G., Abrigo, M. R. M., Abushouk, A. I., Accrombessi, M. M. K., … Mosser, J. F. (2021). Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries. Nature, 589(7842), 415–419. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-03043-4  [10]          Suffel, A. M., Warren-Gash, C., McDonald, H. I., Kucharski, A., & Robert, A. (2025). Impact of vaccination timing and coverage on measles near elimination dynamics: a mathematical modelling analysis. Nature Communications, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-63710-w  [11]          Xue, Y., Ruan, X., & Xiao, Y. (2021). Measles dynamics on network models with optimal control strategies. Advances in Difference Equations, 2021(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-021-03306-y  

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Publication Date

8/24/2026

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